Wednesday September 17, 2025, 07:00:00
By Mark Kalinowski
In recent days, we have published notes examining the pricing changes at McDonald’s and Wendy’s for combo meals. Today, we look at Burger King’s recent pricing changes for combo meals.
Read more
Tuesday September 16, 2025, 09:21:05
By Mark Kalinowski
Data out today from the U.S. Census shows that restaurants’ market share (with grocery stores/supermarkets making up the other component) was 56.5% in August 2025. This is sequentially up by +10 basis points from July 2025’s 56.4% market share. The 56.5% figure also ties the all-time monthly record, also set in May 2025 and June 2025. So, even though same-store sales for most large restaurant concepts during Q2 2025 — and Q3 2025 so far — appear to have left quite a bit to be desired, this dynamic does not appear to be due to consumers meaningfully shifting their food spend to grocery stores and supermarkets.
Read more
Thursday September 11, 2025, 08:53:20
By Mark Kalinowski
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows that prices for food-at-home (grocery stores and supermarkets) rose by +2.7% in July — sequentially +50 basis points higher than July’s +2.2%. This +2.7% number compares with price for food-away-from-home (restaurants) that increased by +3.9% year-over-year in July (sequentially the same as July’s +3.9%) This marks the 29th month in a row for which restaurant pricing is outpacing grocery/supermarket pricing. Yet, the +2.7% figure for food-at-home inflation is the highest of any month since August 2023’s +3.0% number.
Read more