Tuesday July 28, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX (Post-Call) June and July Sales Trends Better than Expected

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s market close, Starbucks (SBUX; Buy, $74.64) reported fiscal Q3 (calendar Q2) adjusted EPS of -$0.46 — better than our -$0.63 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of -$0.62. In its June 10th business update, Starbucks indicated it was then targeting fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of -$0.55 to -$0.70. Fiscal Q3 EPS coming in better than the high end of the target range relates to better-than-expected June same-store sales (for example, June U.S. same-store sales down by -19%).

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Wednesday June 10, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX Adjusting Estimates Following Business Update

By Mark Kalinowski

Earlier today, Starbucks (SBUX; Buy, $82.37) provided a business update as part of an 8-K filing. Given the information in that 8-K, we lower our fiscal Q3E (calendar Q2E) EPS estimate by -53 cents to -$0.63, and we reduce our fiscal Q4E (calendar Q3E) EPS forecast by -12 cents to $0.27. These updates lower our full-fiscal 2020E EPS projection by -65 cents, to $0.75. In addition, given this lower anticipated base of earnings coming off of fiscal 2020E, we take down our fiscal 2021E EPS estimate by -50 cents to $2.25.

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Tuesday April 28, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX (Post-Call) The Road to Recovery Begins with Resilience

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s (Tuesday’s) market close, Starbucks reported fiscal Q2 (calendar Q1) adjusted EPS of $0.32, matching the $0.32 figure that the company pre-announced on April 8th. We were at $0.32 entering today, with sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) at $0.31.

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